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The wisdom of prediction markets.
Powered by AI.

Discover AI-generated investing insights built from real-time prediction markets, public sentiment, and explainable analysis — updated daily or hourly. SentientFund never executes trades or connects to your brokerage.

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Explainable
AI reasoning
Public data
Kalshi + more
No trading
Insights only
Sample dashboard preview
Bullish signals
12
Bearish signals
4
AI confidence
78%
US Technology Outlook
AAPLMSFTNVDA
82%
Fed Rate Cut by Q4
TLTXLF
67%
Bitcoin > $150k in 2026
IBITCOIN
41%
Semiconductor Growth
SMHNVDA
74%
AI reasoning · sample: Prediction markets show strengthening tech conviction; semis lead the move. Sample data — connect the live dashboard for real Kalshi feeds.
Live · Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?97%
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion2%
Which G7 leader will leave office next?21%
When will any company achieve AGI?4%
North Dakota St. to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season24%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for the Portugal National Team again?90%
Will there be a new Pro Basketball team added before 2030?94%
Who will host the 2031 Pro Football Championship?10%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?9%
Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?33%
When will Dabo Swinney leave Clemson?11%
US unemployment rate at year-end 203010%
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?37%
Kylian Mbappe Total FIFA World Cup Career Goals7%
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?42%
New York J: To Break Playoff Drought12%
US meets its climate goals?16%
Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?3%
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?7%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?50%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?97%
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion2%
Which G7 leader will leave office next?21%
When will any company achieve AGI?4%
North Dakota St. to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season24%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for the Portugal National Team again?90%
Will there be a new Pro Basketball team added before 2030?94%
Who will host the 2031 Pro Football Championship?10%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?9%
Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?33%
When will Dabo Swinney leave Clemson?11%
US unemployment rate at year-end 203010%
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?37%
Kylian Mbappe Total FIFA World Cup Career Goals7%
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?42%
New York J: To Break Playoff Drought12%
US meets its climate goals?16%
Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?3%
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?7%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?50%
Watch

Any questions? Check out the YouTube video!

A quick walkthrough of how SentientFund turns prediction-market data into investing insights.

Live AI Insights

Today's AI Market Insights

Auto-generated from live public prediction markets. Every insight is explainable — the AI shows its reasoning, confidence, and the signals it used.

AI & Semiconductors

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Bullish
Probability
97%
AI Confidence
High
Recommendation

Strengthening AI conviction (97%) — LONG NVDA, SMH, MSFT

LONGNVDANVIDIA supplies the training compute for every frontier lab.
LONGSMHDiversified semi ETF captures the full AI infra buildout.
LONGMSFTAzure + OpenAI partnership; hyperscaler capex proxy.

Prediction-market conviction on this AI milestone (97%) is a leading tell for semi & hyperscaler multiples over the following weeks.

2d agoAI-generated · not advice
AI & Semiconductors

When will any company achieve AGI?

Bearish
Probability
4%
AI Confidence
High
Recommendation

Fading AI narrative (4%) — SHORT NVDA, SMH

SHORTNVDANVIDIA supplies the training compute for every frontier lab.
SHORTSMHDiversified semi ETF captures the full AI infra buildout.
SHORTMSFTAzure + OpenAI partnership; hyperscaler capex proxy.

Prediction-market conviction on this AI milestone (4%) is a leading tell for semi & hyperscaler multiples over the following weeks.

2d agoAI-generated · not advice
US Macro

US unemployment rate at year-end 2030

Bearish
Probability
10%
AI Confidence
High
Recommendation

Growth resilience (10% odds) — LONG IWM, SHORT XLP

SHORTXLPConsumer staples outperform in slowdowns.
LONGIWMSmall-caps are the most cyclical beta to US growth.
WATCHGLDGold bids on growth scares and Fed pivots.

Prediction market implies 10% odds of the adverse macro outcome. Rotate toward defensives above 55%, cyclicals below 45%.

2d agoAI-generated · not advice
US Macro

US real GDP growth in 2036?

Bearish
Probability
10%
AI Confidence
Medium
Recommendation

Growth resilience (10% odds) — LONG IWM, SHORT XLP

SHORTXLPConsumer staples outperform in slowdowns.
LONGIWMSmall-caps are the most cyclical beta to US growth.
WATCHGLDGold bids on growth scares and Fed pivots.

Prediction market implies 10% odds of the adverse macro outcome. Rotate toward defensives above 55%, cyclicals below 45%.

2d agoAI-generated · not advice
US Macro

US unemployment rate at year-end 2031

Bearish
Probability
11%
AI Confidence
Medium
Recommendation

Growth resilience (11% odds) — LONG IWM, SHORT XLP

SHORTXLPConsumer staples outperform in slowdowns.
LONGIWMSmall-caps are the most cyclical beta to US growth.
WATCHGLDGold bids on growth scares and Fed pivots.

Prediction market implies 11% odds of the adverse macro outcome. Rotate toward defensives above 55%, cyclicals below 45%.

2d agoAI-generated · not advice
Defense & Geopolitics

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Bearish
Probability
10%
AI Confidence
Medium
Recommendation

Geopolitical risk at 10% — WATCH ITA, LMT, RTX

WATCHITAAerospace & defense ETF — direct beneficiary of elevated defense spend.
WATCHLMTLockheed — largest US defense prime contractor.
WATCHRTXRaytheon — missiles/air defense supply chain.

Rising odds of this conflict outcome (10%) historically expand defense-order backlogs and multiple.

2d agoAI-generated · not advice
View full analysis in dashboard

AI-generated insight based on publicly available prediction market data from Kalshi.

Market Overview

Live prediction-market pulse

Most bullish sectors

  • AI & Semiconductors+0
  • Inflation+-1
  • Climate & Insurance+-1
  • IPO Pipeline+-1

Most bearish sectors

  • US Macro-4
  • Defense & Geopolitics-2
  • Inflation-1
  • Climate & Insurance-1

AI confidence meter

57avg

Aggregated across 12 live markets

Market heatmap · live Kalshi probabilities

97
2
21
4
24
90
94
10
9
33
11
10
37
7
42
12
16
3
7
50
48
54
85
10
23
5
63
47
45
35
How it works

From prediction market to explainable insight.

01 · Pulse

The Pulse

Monitor public prediction markets including Kalshi to identify changing probabilities before traditional market reactions.

02 · Brain

The Brain

AI analyzes prediction markets, filters noise, measures confidence, and identifies companies and sectors that may benefit or face headwinds.

03 · Insight

The Insight

Receive explainable stock ideas, confidence ratings, sector analysis, and supporting evidence — without any automated trading.

Features

Everything you need to read the market's mind.

Prediction Market Intelligence

Continuously monitors publicly available prediction markets for significant probability changes.

AI-Powered Stock Insights

Transforms prediction-market movements into explainable stock and ETF recommendations.

Real-Time Sentiment Engine

Tracks crowd sentiment before traditional news outlets fully react.

Explainable AI

Every recommendation includes transparent reasoning, confidence scores, and the signals used to generate it.

Market Heatmaps

Visualize bullish and bearish trends across sectors at a glance.

Personalized Watchlists

Follow companies, ETFs, sectors, or prediction markets that matter most to you.

Historical Trend Analysis

View how prediction-market sentiment has evolved over time.

Secure Platform

Bank-grade encryption, secure authentication, and privacy-first architecture.

Live example

One prediction market. One explainable idea.

Every card on SentientFund shows the market, the AI's read, the confidence, and the reasoning — so you can decide for yourself. Nothing is hidden.

  • Live probabilities pulled from Kalshi's public API
  • Confidence scored from probability edge & 24h volume
  • Suggested exposure via liquid, well-known tickers
  • Refreshes automatically as markets move
Prediction Market
Bullish
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Probability
97%
Trend
▲ 2%
AI confidence
High
Suggested exposure
NVDASMHMSFT
Reason

Prediction-market conviction on this AI milestone (97%) is a leading tell for semi & hyperscaler multiples over the following weeks.

View Full Analysis

AI-generated insight based on publicly available prediction market data.

Daily AI Market Summary

Top LONG signal: IWM · top SHORT signal: XLP · 12 tradable prediction-market signals mapped to public equities.

Updated 2d ago · derived from 60 live Kalshi markets
Pricing

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Market updates depend on the availability and refresh rates of public data sources.