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Tracked markets
60
Bullish signals
1
Bearish signals
11
Avg AI confidence
57%
Today's AI Market Summary

Top LONG signal: IWM · top SHORT signal: XLP · 12 tradable prediction-market signals mapped to public equities.

AI-generated insight based on publicly available prediction market data from Kalshi.

  • AI & Semiconductors·Financials
    Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
    97%
    conf 86
  • AI & Semiconductors·Companies
    When will any company achieve AGI?
    4%
    conf 76
  • US Macro·Economics
    US unemployment rate at year-end 2030
    10%
    conf 65
  • US Macro·Economics
    US real GDP growth in 2036?
    10%
    conf 53
  • US Macro·Economics
    US unemployment rate at year-end 2031
    11%
    conf 53
  • Defense & Geopolitics·Elections
    Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
    10%
    conf 58
  • Defense & Geopolitics·Elections
    Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
    11%
    conf 52
  • US Macro·Economics
    How high will unemployment get before 2030?
    19%
    conf 43
  • Inflation·Economics
    US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
    35%
    conf 29
  • Climate & Insurance·Climate and Weather
    US meets its climate goals?
    16%
    conf 55
  • IPO Pipeline·Financials
    Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?
    9%
    conf 54
  • Policy & Politics·Elections
    Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
    7%
    conf 64
AI & Semiconductorsbullish

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Probability
97%
AI Confidence
High
AI Recommendation

Strengthening AI conviction (97%) — LONG NVDA, SMH, MSFT

LONG

NVIDIA supplies the training compute for every frontier lab.

LONG

Diversified semi ETF captures the full AI infra buildout.

LONG

Azure + OpenAI partnership; hyperscaler capex proxy.

Why this signal

Prediction-market conviction on this AI milestone (97%) is a leading tell for semi & hyperscaler multiples over the following weeks.

2d agoAI-generated · not advice

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Weekly bullish/bearish balance

Illustrative trend from current live snapshot. Historical series available on Premium.