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Tracked markets
60
Bullish signals
1
Bearish signals
8
Avg AI confidence
60%
Today's AI Market Summary

Top LONG signal: XLF · top SHORT signal: NVDA · 12 tradable prediction-market signals mapped to public equities.

AI-generated insight based on publicly available prediction market data from Kalshi.

  • AI & Semiconductors·Financials
    Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
    19%
    conf 57
  • Defense & Geopolitics·Elections
    Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
    8%
    conf 72
  • M&A·Politics
    How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
    6%
    conf 82
  • Policy & Politics·Politics
    Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
    81%
    conf 70
  • Policy & Politics·Elections
    2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
    4%
    conf 92
  • Policy & Politics·Elections
    2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
    1%
    conf 87
  • AI & Semiconductors·Companies
    When will any company achieve AGI?
    46%
    conf 27
  • Trade & Tariffs·Politics
    Will China obtain an EUV machine?
    57%
    conf 29
  • Climate & Insurance·Climate and Weather
    US meets its climate goals?
    18%
    conf 51
  • M&A·Politics
    Will the US acquire any new territory?
    22%
    conf 55
  • Energy·Climate and Weather
    What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
    58%
    conf 22
  • Policy & Politics·Elections
    Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
    3%
    conf 71
AI & Semiconductorsbearish

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Probability
19%
AI Confidence
Medium
AI Recommendation

Fading AI narrative (19%) — SHORT NVDA, SMH

SHORT

NVIDIA supplies the training compute for every frontier lab.

SHORT

Diversified semi ETF captures the full AI infra buildout.

SHORT

Azure + OpenAI partnership; hyperscaler capex proxy.

Why this signal

Prediction-market conviction on this AI milestone (19%) is a leading tell for semi & hyperscaler multiples over the following weeks.

3d agoAI-generated · not advice

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Weekly bullish/bearish balance

Illustrative trend from current live snapshot. Historical series available on Premium.